Quarterly Economic Update: January to March 2026

The first quarter of 2026 will be remembered as one of the most consequential in decades. A war erupted in the Middle East, the Strait of Hormuz closed, oil prices surged past US$100 per barrel, and inflation roared back to life. Central banks pivoted sharply from cutting rates to raising them. For Australian households, that has so far meant two consecutive rate hikes and a stark reminder that the cost of living battle is far from over.